Article: Brighton vs Man City Week 11
Written by: Reagan Oluoch
Date Published: 08-11-2024
Brighton vs Manchester City Week 11 Betting Prediction, Odds, and Stats
Brighton vs Manchester City stands as one of Week 11’s most anticipated Premier League matchups, promising an exciting clash between two attack-minded teams. All eyes will be on the Amex Stadium this Saturday. The first of two late kick-offs in the Premier League fixtures as Manchester City look to recover from three consecutive defeats.
We examine key betting markets, including match results, goal totals, and scorer predictions, while providing data-driven insights to help you make informed betting decisions.
Key Takeaways
- Brighton vs Manchester City starts 5:30 PM UTC on the 9th of November
- Brighton have already dropped ten points from winning positions in the Premier League this term.
- The Seagulls are unbeaten in five home matches this season. They haven’t enjoyed a longer unbeaten home start to the season since 1982-83.
- Manchester City’s 32-game unbeaten run ended last weekend, but they haven’t lost back-to-back matches since October 2023.
- We anticipate BTTS prediction with both sides finding the back of the net
| League | Match | Date | Stadium |
| Premier League | Brighton vs Manchester City | 9th of November, 5:30 PM UTC | AMEX Stadium |
Brighton vs Manchester City News
Brighton have made an interesting start to the new season under the guidance of manager Fabian Hurzeler. The German boss has overseen four wins from his first 10 Premier League matches, which is about average for the current campaign.
However, the Seagulls have only suffered two defeats during Hurzeler’s tenure, fewer than all but the top three teams. Their losses have come against Chelsea and Liverpool, with the Reds claiming victory in their most recent encounter.
This leaves Brighton sitting eighth in the table, though they remain just three points behind third-placed Nottingham Forest.
Manchester City are on the hunt for a historic fifth consecutive Premier League title, having already made their mark by winning four in a row.
The Citizens are very much in the title race, sitting two points behind league leaders Liverpool after 10 games. But there will be a bit of a cloud over Pep Guardiola heading into this match.
Manchester City are coming off their first league defeat of the season, falling to a 2-1 reverse against Bournemouth last weekend. This ended a remarkable 32-game unbeaten run in the Premier League for Pep Guardiola’s side.
Brighton vs Manchester City Week 11: Current Form
The hosts have only suffered two defeats in 10 Premier League games under the new manager. On the other hand, Pep Guardiola’s lengthy unbeaten run in the Premier League came to an end last weekend as they succumbed to a 2-1 defeat away against Bournemouth.
Brighton News: Current Form
In their last five Premier League games, Brighton have had a mixed run of results. They’ve won two matches, lost two, and drawn one.
The recent losses came against Liverpool, both in the EFL Cup and the Premier League. In the cup, Brighton were eliminated in the fourth round after a narrow 3-2 defeat, having pulled a goal back after falling behind 3-1.
Adam Webster and James Milner are still sidelined but are expected to return by the end of the month. Brighton will benefit from the potential returns of several players, including Joao Pedro, Matt O’Riley, Yankuba Minteh, and Lewis Dunk, all of whom could be available for selection.
Manchester City News: Current Form
In their last five games, Manchester City have won two matches but suffered three straight losses. It had been an excellent start to the season for the reigning Premier League champions, but their unbeaten run came to an end in their most recent league game.
That defeat came in a shock 2-1 loss away at Bournemouth. Antoine Semenyo opened the scoring in the first half, followed by Evanilson in the second half. Josko Gvardiol’s late goal provided only consolation for City.
This loss followed another defeat, as Manchester City were eliminated from the EFL Cup by Tottenham. Spurs emerged 2-1 winners, with Matheus Nunes’ goal not enough for a City comeback after they fell behind.
Recent sports news show that Ruben Dias, John Stones, and Jack Grealish are expected to remain unavailable until after the international break. Meanwhile, Pep Guardiola may reinstate Kevin De Bruyne in the starting lineup following his return to the bench last weekend.
Brighton vs. Manchester City – Head-to-Head Stats
According to our betting strategies, the historical matchup heavily favors Manchester City. Recent encounters showing a clear pattern of dominance:
| Statistic | Number |
| Man City Wins | 13 |
| Brighton Wins | 1 |
| Draws | 2 |
| Goals Scored (Man City) | 43 |
| Goals Scored (Brighton) | 11 |
Their most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, though Manchester City has won 13 of the last 16 meetings. The average goal count in direct matches stands at 3.38 goals per game, suggesting high-scoring affairs when these teams meet.
Brighton vs Manchester City Predicted Lineups
Both sides have a mounting injury list to contend with this weekend. Let’s take a quick look at expected lineups ahead of the clash:
Brighton Lineup:
Bart Vebruggen (GK); Joel Veltman, Igor, Jan Paul van Hecke, Pervis Estupinan, Ferdi Kadioglu, Jack Hinshelwood, Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Danny Welbeck, Georginio Rutter
Manchester City Lineup:
Ederson (GK); Kyle Walker, Manuel Akanji, Nathan Ake, Josko Gvardiol, Mateo Kovacic, Jeremy Doku, Bernardo Silva, Ilkay Gundogan, Phil Foden, Erling Haaland
Brighton vs Manchester City Betting Prediction
Despite their recent form concerns, Manchester City remains the clear favorite with bookmakers, commanding a 56.3% win probability.
The goals market presents particularly interesting value, with the Over 2.5 goals priced at 1.56. Several factors support this market:
- Manchester City averages the highest first-half goals in the league with 13 goals before the break
- Eight of the 11 goals City has conceded came in the first half
- Brighton’s matches consistently feature high-scoring patterns
The BTTS market offers compelling value at 1.53, supported by both teams’ attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities.
Summary
The combination of Manchester City’s attacking prowess and Brighton’s scoring ability at home creates numerous valuable betting opportunities across multiple markets. Match dynamics suggest particular value in goals-based markets and specific player performance bets, supported by both teams’ consistent offensive patterns.
Where to Bet Brighton vs Manchester City
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