Article: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Week 9

Written by: Reagan Oluoch

Date Published: 25th of October 2024

Arsenal vs Liverpool Betting Prediction, Odds, and Stats Week 9

Sunday’s heavyweight showdown at the Emirates pits Arsenal against Liverpool in what promises to be a pivotal clash in the title race. Arteta’s depleted squad faces their sternest test yet, coming off a stunning setback at Bournemouth that shattered their long-standing Premier League unbeaten run. With the treatment room filling up, the Gunners’ depth will be pushed to breaking point against their title rivals.

In this Arsenal vs Liverpool Betting Prediction, we’ll dive into historical head-to-head statistics and current team form to analyze this highly anticipated fixture. We’ll also examine the betting odds and explore key factors that could sway the outcome.

Key Takeaway

• Arsenal vs Liverpool starts at 4:30 GMT on the 27th of October
• Liverpool holds a slight edge in the overall head-to-head record, having won 92 matches compared to Arsenal’s 82 victories.
• Arsenal tasted their first defeat of the season against Bournemouth last week
• Injuries and suspensions could play a disadvantage for the home side
• The most common scoreline in this fixture when Arsenal plays at home is 1-1

Arsenal vs Liverpool Recent Form 

To get a clear picture of what to expect in the upcoming Arsenal vs Liverpool match, it’s crucial to examine both teams’ recent performances and their historical encounters as part of my betting strategy.

Arsenal’s home record

Arsenal has been impressive at the Emirates Stadium this season, boasting a strong home record of 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches. This translates to a 75% win rate, showcasing their dominance on home turf. The Gunners have scored 10 goals in their last 5 fixtures, demonstrating their attacking prowess.

In their home games, Arsenal has maintained an impressive average of 2.5 goals per match, which is significantly higher than Liverpool’s away goal average. This offensive firepower has been a key factor in their success at home. Moreover, Arsenal has scored in 100% of their home matches, putting constant pressure on visiting teams.

Liverpool’s away form

Liverpool’s away form has been nothing short of exceptional this season. They have a perfect record on the road, winning all 4 of their away matches in the Premier League. This 100% win rate away from Anfield is a testament to their ability to perform under pressure in hostile environments.

The Reds have scored 8 goals in their last 5 games, showing their offensive capabilities. Their away goal average stands at 2 goals per match, which, while slightly lower than Arsenal’s home scoring rate, is still impressive.

Defensively, Liverpool has been solid on their travels, keeping clean sheets in 25% of their away matches. This defensive resilience has been a key factor in their perfect away record.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Head to Head Statistics 

The head-to-head statistics between Arsenal and Liverpool reveal a closely contested rivalry. In their last 51 meetings, Arsenal has won 15 times, Liverpool has won 17 times, and 19 matches have ended in draws. This even distribution of results highlights the competitive nature of their encounters.

Goal trends in these matches have been fascinating. On average, Arsenal has scored 1.59 goals per game against Liverpool, while Liverpool has averaged 1.9 goals against Arsenal. This suggests that we can expect a high-scoring affair in their upcoming match.

Recent meetings have been particularly exciting. In their last six encounters, there have been 15 goals scored, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Five out of these six matches saw over 1.5 goals scored, while three matches exceeded 2.5 goals.

It’s worth noting that both teams have scored in 3 out of the last 6 matches, indicating that we might see goals from both sides in the upcoming fixture. However, there have also been 2 clean sheets in these 6 games, showing that either team is capable of shutting out their opponent on a good day.

Predicted Lineups

Given the injury situations and recent performances, here are the predicted lineups for both teams:

Arsenal Starting XI

Raya (GK), White, Partey, Gabriel, Kiwior, Jorginho, Rice, Merino, Sterling, Havertz, Martinelli

Liverpool Starting XI

Kelleher (GK), Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson, Gravenberch, Jones, Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz, Nunez

These lineups reflect the available players and the tactical approaches both managers might adopt for this crucial encounter. The match promises to be a test of depth and adaptability for both sides, particularly for Arsenal as they deal with their injury crisis.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Betting Prediction

Based on the recent form and historical encounters between Arsenal and Liverpool, this match promises to be a closely contested affair. While Arsenal has been strong at home, Liverpool’s perfect away record cannot be ignored.

Considering the defensive issues Arsenal is facing, particularly with William Saliba’s suspension, and Liverpool’s solid defensive record, a low-scoring draw seems likely. My betting guide is a 1-1 draw, which aligns with the bookmakers’ odds of 6/1 for this scoreline at Betwinner.

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