Article: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Week 9

Written by: Reagan Oluoch

Date Published: 25th of October 2024

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Betting Prediction, Odds, and Stats Week 9

Welcome to our Chelsea vs Newcastle United Betting Prediction. In a desperate hunt to snap their four-game winless streak, Newcastle face a daunting trip to Stamford Bridge – a venue that’s been their haunting ground for four decades. The Magpies’ record in West London tells a painful tale, with just two league victories to show from their last 40 years of visits to Chelsea’s fortress.

This article will guide you through the key aspects to consider when predicting the Chelsea vs Newcastle match. We’ll examine recent form and head-to-head records, evaluate important player matchups and injuries, look at tactical approaches, and take into account external elements that might affect the game. 

Key Takeaways

• Chelsea vs Newcastle starts 14:00 GMT on the 2th of October
• In their Premier League matches played at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have averaged 2.17 goals per game. 
• In their last five meetings, Chelsea has had the upper hand, winning four matches and drawing one.
• In the last two encounters, both teams failed to score, resulting in matches without both teams scoring (no BBTS).
• A recommended betting prediction for the match is both teams to score 

Chelsea vs Newcastle Recent Form 

To make an informed prediction for the Chelsea vs Newcastle match, it’s crucial to examine the recent performances of both teams and their head-to-head history. My betting guide analysis provides valuable insights into the teams’ current form and their historical matchups.

Chelsea’s Home Performance This Season

Chelsea has shown mixed results at home this season. In their Premier League matches played at Stamford Bridge, they have averaged 2.17 goals per game. Interestingly, all of their home matches (100%) have seen more than 1.5 total goals scored by both teams combined.

Moreover, in 54.55% of their home games, the total goals have exceeded 2.5. These statistics suggest that Chelsea’s home matches tend to be high-scoring affairs, which could be a significant factor in predicting the outcome against Newcastle.

Newcastle’s Away Record

Newcastle United’s away form this season has been somewhat inconsistent. On average, they have scored 1.44 goals per match in away games. In 87.50% of their away matches, the total goals scored by both teams have been over 1.5.

However, only 37.50% of their away games have seen more than 2.5 total goals. This indicates that while Newcastle can find the back of the net on their travels, their away matches tend to be slightly lower-scoring compared to Chelsea’s home games.

Last Five Meetings Between the Two Teams 

In their last five meetings in the Premier League, Chelsea has had the upper hand, winning four matches and drawing one. This suggests a historical advantage for Chelsea in this fixture.

However, it’s important to note that the most recent matches between these two teams have been low-scoring affairs.

In the last two encounters, both teams failed to score, resulting in matches without both teams scoring (no BBTS). Additionally, the total goals in these two games were under 2.5 and even under 1.5, indicating tight, defensive battles.

When considering the broader head-to-head history, Chelsea and Newcastle have faced each other 56 times. Chelsea has won 32 of these matches, while Newcastle has emerged victorious in 13, with 11 games ending in draws. On average, these encounters have produced 2.50 goals per match, suggesting that historically, their matchups have been relatively high-scoring.

Chelsea vs Newcastle Predicted Lineup

Both Chelsea and Newcastle have had to contend with numerous injuries and suspensions, which have affected their performances and tactical approaches.

Chelsea Starting XI

Sanchez (GK) — James, Adarabioyo, Colwill, Gusto — Lavia, Caicedo — Madueke, Palmer, Sancho — Jackson

Newcastling Starting XI

Pope (GK) — Trippier, Schar, Burn, Hall; Tonali, Joelinton, Guimaraes; Murphy, Gordon, Barnes.

Chelsea vs Newcastle United Betting Prediction 

As we’ve seen, predicting the outcome of the Chelsea vs Newcastle match involves weighing various factors. The teams’ recent form, head-to-head history, key player matchups, and tactical approaches all play a role in shaping the potential result.

Chelsea’s home advantage and possession-based style clash with Newcastle’s counter-attacking strengths, setting the stage for an intriguing battle.

Current odds from major sportsbooks reinforce Chelsea’s favored status.

For instance, Betwinner offers odds of 1.768 for a Chelsea win, 4.2 for a draw, and 4 for a Newcastle victory. The betting offer for the winner in this game leans towards Chelsea, with winner probabilities estimated at 54% for Chelsea, 22% for a draw, and 24% for Newcastle at Betwinner. 

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